Prediction Track Record

Jim Cramer: prediction track record

Host of CNBC's Mad Money

Credibility 31% Mostly wrong 10 years half-life
All-time
20%no decay
Resolved
3
Right
0
Wrong
3
Last resolved
10 Mar 2023

Credibility half-life

Jim Cramer: credibility half-life chartCredibility of Jim Cramer from 14 Nov 2000 to 14 Oct 2026, with a 10 years half-life. 3 resolved predictions marked on the line. Now 31%.0%25%50%75%100%20052010201520202025May 2001: Ten internet infrastructure stocks (Exodus, InfoSpace, Inktomi, VeriSign and six others) are the winners of the new world and worth owning. (wrong)16 Mar 2008: Bear Stearns is fine; viewers should not move their money out of it. (wrong)10 Mar 2023: SVB Financial is a buy and one of the biggest winners of 2023 so far. (wrong)31%coin flip

Scored 14 Oct 2026. How the score works

Resolved predictions

PredictionMadeResolvedOutcomeEffect on score

SVB Financial is a buy and one of the biggest winners of 2023 so far.

Regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank on 10 March 2023.

Source: Jim Cramer told viewers to buy Silicon Valley Bank stock a month before collapse (Paleofuture)

 Wrong 39% → 28% (−10.9 pts)

Bear Stearns is fine; viewers should not move their money out of it.

Five days later Bear Stearns agreed to a rescue sale to JPMorgan at $2 a share.

Source: Bear Stearns (Wikipedia)

 Wrong 38% → 28% (−10.5 pts)

Ten internet infrastructure stocks (Exodus, InfoSpace, Inktomi, VeriSign and six others) are the winners of the new world and worth owning.

Fifteen months later Money magazine reported the list had fallen 82%.

Source: The Winners of the New World (TheStreet)

 Wrong 50% → 33% (−16.7 pts)

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