CSU hurricane forecast team: prediction track record
Colorado State University's seasonal Atlantic hurricane outlook, led by Phil Klotzbach
- All-time
- 67%no decay
- Resolved
- 4
- Right
- 3
- Wrong
- 1
- Last resolved
- 30 Nov 2024
Credibility half-life
- Right
- Wrong
- Partly
- Coin flip, 50%
Scored 14 Oct 2026. How the score works
Resolved predictions
| Prediction | Made | Resolved | Outcome | Effect on score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2024 Atlantic season will be extremely active: 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, 5 major (April outlook). 2024 had 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. Source: CSU predicts 23 named storms and 11 hurricanes for 2024 (WUSF) |
Right | 58% → 67% (+9.3 pts) | ||
The 2020 Atlantic season will be more active than average: 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes (April outlook). 2020 set a record with 30 named storms, so the direction was right and the counts far too low. |
Right | 46% → 59% (+13.7 pts) | ||
The 2013 Atlantic season will be active: 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major (April outlook). 2013 had 14 named storms, 2 hurricanes and no major hurricanes. Source: 2013 season much quieter than predicted (Colorado State University) |
Wrong | 61% → 44% (−17.1 pts) | ||
The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than average (April outlook). 2005 produced 15 hurricanes, a record at the time, including Katrina. |
Right | 50% → 67% (+16.7 pts) |
Atom feed of CSU hurricane forecast team's resolutions · Compare with another figure · Report an error or a missing prediction