Steve Ballmer: prediction track record
CEO of Microsoft from 2000 to 2014
Credibility
–
Too few to score
10 years half-life
- All-time
- –no decay
- Resolved
- 1
- Right
- 0
- Wrong
- 1
- Last resolved
- 15 Oct 2017
Credibility half-life
- Right
- Wrong
- Partly
- Coin flip, 50%
Scored 14 Oct 2026. How the score works
Resolved predictions
| Prediction | Made | Resolved | Outcome | Effect on score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
There is no chance the iPhone will get any significant market share. The iPhone became one of the two dominant smartphone platforms; Microsoft stopped developing Windows Phone in 2017. Source: Steve Ballmer (Wikipedia) |
Wrong | 50% → 33% (−16.7 pts) |
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