Prediction Track Record

Jim Keyes: prediction track record

CEO of Blockbuster from 2007 to 2011

Credibility – Too few to score 10 years half-life
All-time
–no decay
Resolved
1
Right
0
Wrong
1
Last resolved
23 Sep 2010

Credibility half-life

Jim Keyes: credibility half-life chartCredibility of Jim Keyes from 25 Mar 2010 to 14 Oct 2026, with a 10 years half-life. 1 resolved prediction marked on the line. Now 43%.0%25%50%75%100%2012201420162018202020222024202623 Sep 2010: Neither Redbox nor Netflix is a serious competitive threat to Blockbuster. (wrong)43%coin flip

Scored 14 Oct 2026. How the score works

Resolved predictions

PredictionMadeResolvedOutcomeEffect on score

Neither Redbox nor Netflix is a serious competitive threat to Blockbuster.

Blockbuster filed for bankruptcy on 23 September 2010.

Source: Blockbuster LLC (Wikipedia)

 Wrong 50% → 33% (−16.7 pts)

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