https://alfheim-leader-credibility-decay-model.pages.dev/feeds/michael-fish.xml Michael Fish: resolved predictions 1987-10-16T00:00:00Z tag:alfheim-leader-credibility-decay-model.pages.dev,1987-10-16:michael-fish/1987-no-hurricane Michael Fish: wrong on "There is no hurricane on the way to the UK" 1987-10-16T00:00:00Z Prediction Track Record Wrong. There is no hurricane on the way to the UK. Made 15 Oct 1987, resolved 16 Oct 1987. Hours later the Great Storm of 1987 brought hurricane-force gusts to southern England. Fish has said the remark referred to a storm near Florida. Effect on Michael Fish's credibility: 50% → 33% (−16.7 pts).