https://alfheim-leader-credibility-decay-model.pages.dev/feeds/met-office.xml Met Office: resolved predictions 2010-02-28T00:00:00Z tag:alfheim-leader-credibility-decay-model.pages.dev,2010-02-28:met-office/2009-mild-winter Met Office: wrong on "Winter 2009/10 is likely to be milder than the previous winter, with about a 1 in 7 chance of a cold one" 2010-02-28T00:00:00Z Prediction Track Record Wrong. Winter 2009/10 is likely to be milder than the previous winter, with about a 1 in 7 chance of a cold one. Made 23 Jul 2009, resolved 28 Feb 2010. It was the UK's coldest winter since 1978/79, 2.0°C below the 1971-2000 average. Effect on Met Office's credibility: 34% → 29% (−5.0 pts). tag:alfheim-leader-credibility-decay-model.pages.dev,2009-08-31:met-office/2009-barbecue-summer Met Office: wrong on "Summer 2009 in the UK is odds-on to be a barbecue summer: warmer and drier than recent ones" 2009-08-31T00:00:00Z Prediction Track Record Wrong. Summer 2009 in the UK is odds-on to be a barbecue summer: warmer and drier than recent ones. Made 30 Apr 2009, resolved 31 Aug 2009. July 2009 was one of the wettest on record in the UK. Effect on Met Office's credibility: 50% → 33% (−16.7 pts).